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War, Debt, and Bitcoin’s 50-Day Prophecy

War, Debt, and Bitcoin’s 50-Day Prophecy

Chris Campbell

Posted June 13, 2025

Chris Campbell

Last night, the headlines broke: Israel launched airstrikes on Iran.

Markets immediately panicked. Bitcoin dropped $1,000 in under an hour. Ethereum? Down nearly 9%. Solana? -10%. Cardano? -8%.

Doge? Pepe? Fartcoin? Crushed.

It’s a simple equation: Fear is the spark. Leverage is the fuel. Liquidation is the explosion.

That’s what blindsided the charts.

BUT…

This isn’t Bitcoin’s first geopolitical panic. In fact, it’s eerily familiar.

  • In October 2023: Israeli airstrikes, followed by an ~5% BTC dump, then a monster 80% rally.
  • In October 2024: Operation True Promise II, ~5% drop… followed by a breakout past all-time highs.

Every time BTC drops after Middle East escalations, it rallies.This week? We saw a similar pattern begin to unfold.

Bitcoin plunged right to its 50-day simple moving average—the same support level it’s bounced from in previous war-tension dips.

So unless this time is truly different, there’s a case to be made for a bounce…

And maybe even a rally.

But there’s also something else.

Apple’s Quiet Bitcoin Play?

While everyone was watching missiles, Apple approved a Bitcoin-themed mobile game called SaruTobi where users can buy and earn BTC in-app.

Small story? Maybe.

But also possibly the first domino to Apple becoming BTC-friendly… and maybe even holding Bitcoin on its balance sheet.

Because this is how Apple does it: quietly, through App Store approvals, small UX shifts…

Then suddenly, the iPhone is a cold wallet and Tim Cook’s giving Satoshi a Lifetime Achievement Award.

Zooming out, there’s one final piece to this puzzle:

Bitcoin Was Built For This

While missiles fly and markets wobble, the U.S. is considering adding another $3 trillion in debt.

Not because they have to. Because they always do.

It’s not passed yet—but the fuse is lit. Whether it’s good policy or political theater, one thing’s certain: The risk is real.

Ray Dalio sees a debt spiral. Historians see another currency unraveling. Bitcoin? It was born for it.

With Bitcoin, you’ve got a multi-trillion dollar game of musical chairs… and only 21 million seats.

And yet…

If you’re an Early Stage Crypto Investor member, you just got the latest on an even BIGGER opportunity in the crypto (and stablecoin) space.

Stay tuned for more.

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